What if: 2012 free agency was just like that of 2004?

120612-DePo

If you are sweating over Zack Greinke and his potential signing, you must have forgotten about the dreaded offseason eight years ago that helped to cement the Dodgers’ latest fall from atop the NL West.

On Dec. 14, 2004, the Dodgers brought in ex-MVP and second baseman Jeff Kent from the Houston Astros via free agency, signing him to a 3-year/$21 million deal.

Two days later, the Seattle Mariners announced the signing of former Dodgers superstar third baseman Adrian Beltre, who inked a 5-year/$64 million contract to play in the Pacific Northwest.

Eight years later the Dodgers see the Mariners as a team that could very well swoop in and sign this year’s prize free agent, Josh Hamilton, which could effectively put an end to whatever advantage they might hold over the Texas Rangers in signing Zack Greinke.

If this was 2004, you have to believe that the Dodgers would have gone out and inked Kyle Lohse to a contract already, and even that might be giving the classic organization led by Paul DePodesta too much credit.

As most remember, the team added Kent (ranked No. 19) and outfielder J.D. Drew (ranked No. 11).

To correlate the needs of this season, the player ranked 12th by ESPN in 2012 is Dan Haren, who just signed with the Washington Nationals, and the one ranked 19th is Brandon McCarthy.

Again the top-ranked player is an outfielder (Carlos Beltran in ’04), and while the Dodgers could go that route, all signs point to being unlikely.

But you have to appreciate that toughness of the Dodgers to remain in this dogfight with the Rangers over Greinke, who is clearly the guy that the Dodgers are targeting; given that both Chris Capuano and Aaron Harang have been placed on the trading block; evidenced by the club’s willingness to offer him a contract that would make him the highest paid pitcher ever; and by its reluctance to entertain other pitchers as the top priority.

Remember that two days made a huge difference in Dodgers history.

To some the signing of Kent signaled that the Dodgers would be vastly improving the infield by bringing in a former MVP to add some pop to a lineup that featured a player (Beltre) that should have won the MVP award in 2004.

Instead the team went from NL West champions, winning 93 games in 2004, to a 4th place finish in the West, winning just 71 games in 2005.

But great news! This isn’t 2004.

Whether it’s Greinke or Lohse, or Anibal Sanchez and perhaps even Hyun-jin Ryu, these Dodgers aren’t settling, and that should be taken as a great sign of things to come.

2004 look-a-likes in 2012:

Yeah, the revamp was that bad. Painful? Let’s get to the pitching staff

Bullpen? Yeah, it continues to remain pitiful, and to think, they spent a decent amount of money then. What might a few extra dollars have done for this great team? Enough to convince DePodesta that he wasn’t still with the Oakland A’s, that’s for sure.

How might this team compete in a relatively weak NL West?

It wouldn’t, it would contribute to the weakness of the division.

Instead, look forward to the Dodgers remaining in play for Greinke, and if that fizzles out, don’t expect them to pursue anybody along the lines of McCarthy or Francisco Liriano, they will move on to other top-10 talent such as Sanchez, Lohse, or even Ryu if it gets that far.

Pardon my taking you back to the Ice Ages of Dodgers baseball, but really, we are spoiled to be where we are at, and I for one am grateful for it.

So now Dodgers, how about a Zack Greinke signing, forcing Texas to take Hamilton back, and sticking Seattle with some payback for depriving us of six more years (at least) of Adrian Beltre.

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3 Comments

  1. DustinJohnHansonNo Gravatar said:

    Not to be a stick in the mud, but we signed Kent from the Astros.

  2. iJonathanGarzaNo Gravatar said:

    You are absolutely right. He signed a 2-year/$19.9 million deal with Houston prior to the contract with the Dodgers.

  3. DustinJohnHansonNo Gravatar said:

    Ceasar Izturis comp for Dee Gordon is about as backwards as they come. All of Izzys value came in his glove, very little in speed, and you take what you can get with his bat. All of Gordons value comes with his footspeed, none with his glove, and you hope for more from his bat. I understand that the 2005 roster was ridiculous and were excited to see a huge improvement since then, but these comps are pretty rough.

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