Over the past few seasons, the Reds have been one of the Dodgers’ top trade partners. With the Reds now falling out of the playoff race, the Dodgers could once again agree to a deal with them, this time for left-handed reliever Amir Garrett.
Amir Garrett, Filthy 85mph Slider. ? pic.twitter.com/HMlyQ8GaEk
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 21, 2019
A Breakdown of Garrett
Garrett, 27, made his debut with the Reds in 2017 as a starting pitcher and the results were bad, to put it nicely, as he pitched to a 7.39 ERA and 7.39 FIP over 70.2 innings. In 2018, the Reds moved him to the bullpen and the results were better, as he posted a 4.29 ERA and 3.89 FIP in 63 innings.
This season, Garrett has taken off in his bullpen role, partly due to a change in his pitch mix. Through 38 innings, he has a 1.66 ERA, 3.04 FIP, and 13.26 K/9. He has also limited hard contact at an elite rate, as you can see by his Baseball Savant profile.
In 2018, Garrett relied on a fastball, which he threw 55% of the time, and his slider, which accounted for 33% of his pitches. This season, Garrett has added a sinker to his arsenal and made his fastball his least used pitch.
His most used pitch is now his slider, which he throws 59% of the time, and averages 86 MPH. As far as movement goes, it doesn’t stand out. Compared to the average major league slider, Garrett’s has 3.3 fewer inches of horitzonal break and just below one inch less of vertical break. However, it’s still his best pitch according to Fangraphs pitch values.
His sinker ranges from 93 to 97 MPH and he throws it 22 percent of the time. It gets about an inch above average in vertical and horizontal movement.
Last year, Garrett’s ground ball rate was below league average at 38%. The switch to a sinker has helped him post an above-average 52% ground ball rate. More ground balls have also meant fewer home runs allowed as his HR/9 dropped from 1.14 to 0.71.
He could be used by the Dodgers as their primary lefty out of the bullpen, a high leverage reliever, or as a setup man to Kenley Jansen.
Since he still has four years of team control after this season, the Reds would need to receive a strong offer to move him. There is a chance the Reds would demand one of the Dodgers’ top four prospects and the Dodgers should decline if they do. If they are more realistic, the Dodgers could offer two prospects in the five to 10 range and another one or two upside fliers, which should get the Reds to listen at the very least.
Garrett would be a great acquisition for the Dodgers if the Reds are willing to move him. He’s not a guy they should sell the farm for but a high price shouldn’t scare them away. Left-handed reliever remains the biggest need for the Dodgers and the options are pretty limited. If they can’t find a deal for Garrett, Aaron Bummer and Jake Diekman make a lot of sense. too