Baseball Prospectus is favoring the Dodgers again. With its full PECOTA projections out, L.A. is projected to win 98 games.
The 98 wins are the MLB’s best by five games. It gives Los Angeles homefield advantage over Chicago by eight games. The NL West would be won by 12 games over the San Francisco Giants.
.@baseballpro projects the Dodgers to win an MLB-best 98 games in 2017. Eight more than CHC and 12 more than SF.
— Dodgers Nation (@DodgersNation) February 7, 2017
It’s the fifth straight season Prospectus has projected the Dodgers to lead the majors in wins. The Dodgers won over 90 in the previous four, but fell a few wins shy of Prospectus’ estimation each time.
— Baseball Prospectus (@baseballpro) February 5, 2017
In this NL scenario, Los Angeles, Chicago and New York win their respective divisions, while Washington and San Francisco duel for the wild card. In the America League, Houston, Cleveland and Boston are division winners with Seattle and Texas facing each other in the one-game playoff.
The Dodgers didn’t do anything earth shattering this winter outside keeping their own free agents. They retained Rich Hill, Kenley Jansen and Justin Turner. Logan Forsythe and Sergio Romo are the two most significant outside additions. For the most part, the Dodgers just need to be healthy and evaluate the team from there.