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To be honest, I don’t watch the show. However, I’ve seen a few episodes where people hold onto what they have for too long and pass up hitting it big, which sounds like a great parable for the trade deadline. Remember back when the Los Angeles Dodgers couldn’t let go of guys like Joel Guzman or Andy LaRoche without getting a star in return?
Now, that’s not to say I think the Dodgers should empty the farm for a chance to win now. However, you can’t expect to get quality unless you give quality. The biggest question is how much are you willing to give up?
So, that leads us into the fun exercise of taking the MLB trade deadline and turning it into a game show. Let’s play “Deal or No Deal!”
Contestant #1: David Price
It’s long been rumoured that the Dodgers have coveted Price and were expected to make a play for him last off-season. Needless to say, nothing came to fruition. Now, slightly older but still very good, Price is putting up impressive numbers once again.
He’s posting a near 10 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s given up a few too many longballs this year, 19 in 155 innings, but that’s not too much of a cause for concern.
What The Rays Might Want: Joc Pederson, Julio Urias, Corey Seager
The one thing Dodger fans should have taken away from the Oakland A’s / Chicago Cubs trade was this: the A’s traded a top-10 prospect in all of baseball for a good, not great, starter and another starter who’s been up and down over the past handful of years.
This greatly inflates the value of starters on the trade market and, given the fact that the Rays netted Wil Myers and Jake Odorizzi for James Shields and Wade Davis, they’ll likely demand the moon for a superior piece in Price.
What The Rays Might Take: Corey Seager, Julio Urias, Zach Lee, Scott Schebler
In this package, the Rays still get a pair of top flight prospects, as well as a couple players who could probably help the Major League Club in the next year or so. Schebler and Lee don’t have the upside of a guy like Pederson but both could be solid contributors at the major league level.
Deal or No Deal: NO DEAL
Giving up even two of the best prospects in the game for a guy who will be a free agent in 15 months probably isn’t ideal. Sure, the Dodgers could look back at this opportunity and kick themselves a few years down the road, but Seager and Urias have the most upside of any prospects the Dodgers have had in the past five years.
I think it would be more prudent to go for a shorter term answer now and wait another few years for Seager and Urias to develop into the players they’re projected to become.
Next page: Cole Hamels