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Dodgers Do Not Have Highest Odds to Win World Series

The Dodgers trail the Astros in highest odds to win the World Series, per Fangraphs.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been magical this season and that quite frankly is an understatement. There is something to be said about a team on pace for 106 wins.

Although the Dodgers no longer hold the best record in Major League Baseball — the Yankees have a one game hold on that title — they have a strong case for being the best team in baseball. Regardless, the oddsmakers over at Fangraphs beg to differ.

The Dodgers currently maintain the second-highest odds to win the World Series in 2019. The Houston Astros rank first by a wide margin. Imagine a third World Series loss in a row? I don’t want to either. Still, Fangraphs is currently predicting a repeat of the 2017 World Series matchup and outcome.

30.1% is a stellar mark and has a lot to do with the acquisition of former Dodger and ace Zack Greinke. Since the trade deadline, the Dodgers have increased their odds by 0.8%, the Yankees have declined by 0.5%, and the Houston Astros have increased their odds by a whopping 3.7%.

These numbers are reasonable considering the Astros rival the Dodgers for the most complete team in baseball, top to bottom. The Dodgers have the depth, but the Astros may have the edge in star power. The Astros lead the American League and the Dodgers lead the National League in nearly every offensive category that matters.

While this outcome is extremely likely, by no means should we expect a 2017 rematch with the Houston Astros. The New York Yankees, at full health, pose the biggest threat to the Astros and possibly the Dodgers as well.

Considering that the Yankees have suffered losses of $300 million man Giancarlo Stanton and budding ace Luis Severino this season, to have the best record in baseball is more than impressive.

The Dodgers are rightfully in the thick of it, though, and poised to make yet another deep playoff run in 2019.

Written by Daniel Preciado

My name is Daniel Preciado and I am 18 years old. I am a sophomore Sport Analytics major and Cognitive Science and Economics dual minor at Syracuse University. When I am not in New York, I live in Whittier, California --- not too far from Chavez Ravine. I am pretty old-school for being an analytics guy and I will always embrace debate. Also, Chase Utley did absolutely nothing wrong.

6 Comments

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  1. Daniel, I remember in 1963 that the prognosticators said the Dodgers would lose to the dreaded Yankees in the WS. That is why I do not put much stock or faith in these meaningless predictions

  2. Let everyone bet on HOU that just means Vegas will rig it in our favor so they don’t lose their behinds. All of the umpires will be betting on us too

  3. A lot depends on how these games and lineups will be managed by Roberts and Co. A team cannot manage the same way during the PS and or WS the way they runs things in the regular season. Dodgers will face better pitching/hitting in the PS and WS than they have in the regular season. BP cannot falter, and Dodgers cannot rely solely on ‘slugging’ HR’s because those figure to be few and far between. Maybe that’s what the predictors are looking at , IDK…

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